It’s a seller’s market. So it’s no surprise that Fannie Mae’s most recent Home Purchase Sentiment Index found respondents more optimistic about selling a home than they were about buying one. With inventory low and buyer demand high, that’s to be expected. The survey found 69 percent of participants said they believed now was a good time to sell a house, while just 25 percent said they thought it was a good time to buy. Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae’s senior vice president and chief economist, said younger Americans were more likely to be affected by current market conditions. “Younger consumers – more so than other groups – expect home prices to rise even further, and they also reported a greater sense of macroeconomic pessimism,” Duncan said. “All of this points back to the current lack of affordable housing stock, as younger generations appear to be feeling it particularly acutely.” Overall, the index was down 2.4 points from the month before and 5.9 points from last year at the same time. (source)

Nearly 200,000 more Americans will turn 32 this year than did last year. That may seem like a random factoid but it actually has big implications for the housing market. That’s because 32 is the age when many Americans buy their first home. It’s also close to the median age of parents with newborns. And with a couple hundred thousand more Americans turning 32 this year – and even more next year – there will be a lot of home buyers looking to buy a home in a family-friendly neighborhood. That means increasing demand for affordable homes at a time when the inventory of homes for sale in those price ranges is lower than normal. The effects can already be seen. In fact, according to one recent analysis, home prices are rising about 3 percent faster in areas with a larger share of kids than they are in ZIP codes where there are fewer kids. So what does this mean for young Americans who are starting families and thinking about buying a home? Well, it means competition and prices will be rising in desirable, kid-friendly neighborhoods, so it’s more important than ever to have some savings and your finances in order. (source)

The gap between what homeowners owe on their mortgages and what their homes are worth continues to widen, according to new numbers from ATTOM Data Solutions. Their most recent U.S. Home Equity & Underwater Report found that 41.9 percent of mortgaged residential properties were considered equity rich in the fourth quarter of 2021. Equity rich refers to when the combined amount of loan balances is no more than 50 percent of a property’s estimated value. In short, it’s good news for homeowners – and it’s spreading. The percentage of equity-rich properties was up from 39.5 percent in the third quarter and 30.2 percent at the same time the year before. Todd Teta, ATTOM’s chief product officer, says homeowners benefited from last year’s home-price increases. “As home prices kept rising, so did the equity built up in residential properties, to the point where close to half of all mortgage payers around the country found themselves in equity-rich territory,” Teta said. “No doubt, there are market metrics that pose warnings about how long the boom can last and equity can keep improving … But for now, homeowners are sitting pretty as the wealth they have tucked away in their homes keeps growing.” (source)

According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Applications Survey, average mortgage rates rose again last week with increases seen across all loan categories, including 30-year fixed-rate loans with both conforming and jumbo balances, loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration, and 15-year fixed-rate loans. But despite rates rising to their highest level since March 2020, demand for mortgage applications still increased 12 percent from the week before. In fact, refinance activity was up 18 percent and demand for loans to buy homes rose 4 percent from one week earlier. Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting, says the average loan size was also up. “Purchase applications increased in the final full week of January but remained 7 percent lower than a year ago,” Kan said. “The average purchase loan size hit a new survey high once again at $441,100. Stubbornly low inventory levels and swift home-price growth continue to push average loan sizes higher.” The MBA’s weekly survey has been conducted since 1990 and covers 75 percent of all retail residential mortgage applications. (source)

In a fast-paced market, home buyers have to be prepared for competition. A good home will attract multiple interested buyers and, if you hope to be successful, you’ll have to move quickly and make an offer that rises above the rest. These days, that’s especially true. With a lower than normal number of homes for sale and buyer demand still elevated, listings are seeing more traffic than ever. In fact, according to one recent analysis, the number of showings rose 11.5 percent last year from the year before. In December, the average listing had six showings and, in some markets, much more. For example, listed homes in cities like Seattle, Denver, Orlando, and Dallas averaged more than 10 showings per listing – and that’s at a time of year when the market typically slows. Fortunately, inventory is supposed to pick up this year, which will give buyers more options to choose from and cut down on buyer competition. But the improvement won’t happen overnight. That means, home buyers looking at listings in the weeks ahead need to be prepared to act fast when they find a house that fits their needs. More than likely, they won’t be the only buyer interested. (source)

The National Association of Realtors’ Pending Home Sales Index measures the number of contracts to buy homes signed each month. It’s considered a good indicator of future home sales, as it measures signings and not closings, which typically happen several weeks later. In December, the index found contract activity down from the month before, falling 3.8 percent from November. Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, says the decline was likely due to a lack of homes available for sale. “Pending home sales faded toward the end of 2021, as a diminished housing supply offered consumers very few options,” Yun said. But while low inventory continues to be a challenge for buyers, Yun believes relief is on the way. New home construction has been rising for months and, with continued improvement, should add enough inventory to help slow home price increases and offer buyers more options. “The combination of a more measured demand and rising supply will bring housing prices better in line with wage growth,” Yun said. He expects housing starts to reach 1.65 million this year and home prices to rise 5.1 percent. (source)