There are more home buyers looking for an affordable home than there are affordable homes to buy. That’s been true for awhile now. It’s part of the reason home prices keep rising. But while inventory is still down significantly from last year, the number of new listings has begun to improve. And, according to new numbers from the National Association of Realtors’ consumer website, the number of available smaller homes is now climbing faster than other categories. In fact, the share of homes between 750 and 1,750 square feet rose from 30.2 percent in July 2020 to 36.3 percent in July 2021. By comparison, the share of homes between 3,000 and 6,000 square feet has fallen 4.1 percent during the same period. Overall, new listings are up 6.5 percent over last year. Danielle Hale, the website’s chief economist, says the trend is good for buyers. “This is shifting the housing market balance in a more buyer-friendly direction, but buyers may not see as much price moderation as suggested by the national trend because it’s partly attributed to a shift toward smaller homes for sale,” Hale said. (source)
Archive for August 2021
Vast Majority Of Americans Say It’s Time To Sell
Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment Index is a monthly measure of how Americans feel about the housing market, economy, and their own personal financial situation. The survey asks participants whether they feel now is a good time to buy or sell a home, whether they think mortgage rates and prices will go up or down over the next year, and how they feel about their job and income. In July, the index saw a slight decline. Among respondents, fewer said they thought it was a good time to buy a home, while the number who think it’s a good time to sell remains high. Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae’s senior vice president and chief economist, says home prices are the reason behind both responses. “The percentage of respondents citing high home prices as the top reason for it being a ‘bad time to buy’ also reached an all-time high,” Duncan said. “On the flip side, selling sentiment remains extremely high, and well above pre-pandemic levels, for the same commonly cited reason: high home prices.” (source)
Half Of Homes Sell In Two Weeks Or Less
Homes sell quickly these days. Anyone who’s shopped for a house recently knows this. A quality house listed on a Thursday will sometimes not even last through the weekend. That’s good for home sellers but can be stressful for buyers. Which is why new numbers tracking home sales over the four-week period ending August 1 offer encouragement. The data shows that 49.7 percent of homes had an accepted offer within two weeks of being listed. And while that’s fast – and nearly 6 percent higher than the same time last year – it’s also about the same as it’s been since early July. In other words, homes are still selling quickly but the rate has begun to plateau. That could be a sign that the red-hot housing market is beginning to cool, heading into the second half of summer. And, if the trend continues, it may mean home buyers find more available homes for sale and a little less competition than they did earlier in the year. (source)
Rising Equity A Sign Of Healthy Housing Market
When the pandemic began in early 2020, there were fears that it would hurt the housing market and home values. However, those fears were quickly set aside as home buyers returned and prices rose. In short, the housing market survived relatively unscathed as the coronavirus caused volatility and uncertainty nearly everywhere else. Now, more than a year later, a new report shows that it continues to thrive. In fact, according to ATTOM Data Solutions’ U.S. Home Equity & Underwater Report, the number of equity-rich properties – those whose loans are no more than 50 percent of the property’s estimated value – continues to rise, while the number of seriously underwater homes is falling. Todd Teta, ATTOM’s chief product officer, says the pandemic has actually helped homeowners. “Instead of the virus pandemic harming homeowners, it’s helped create conditions that have boosted the balance sheets of households all across the country,” Teta said. (source)
Survey Says Average Rates Remain Low
According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Applications Survey, average mortgage rates were down last week for both 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances and 15-year fixed-rate loans. Loans backed by the Federal Housing Administration and jumbo loans both saw increases. Mike Fratantoni, MBA’s senior vice president and chief economist, says coronavirus concerns pushed rates lower. “Interest rates drifted lower globally last week, as markets assessed the latest concerns regarding the delta variant,” Fratantoni said. But despite favorable mortgage rates, application demand was down week-over-week. In fact, both the refinance and purchase index saw 2 percent declines from the week before. Fratantoni says the drop in purchase-application demand is likely being driven by a lack of available homes for sale. The MBA’s weekly survey has been conducted since 1990 and covers 75 percent of all retail residential mortgage applications. (source)
Rising Share Of Americans Say They Plan To Buy
Buying a house is not something we do very often. Studies show the average American only buys a home three times in their entire life. So it’d make sense that the share of Americans planning to buy at any given time would stay fairly consistent and relatively low. But new numbers from the National Association of Home Builders show buyer demand is actually rising, and quickly. The data – from the NAHB’s most recent Housing Trends Report – found the share of Americans planning to buy in the next 12 months is higher than it’s been in over two years. It’s also nearly twice what it was at the beginning of 2020. In fact, among surveyed adults, 17 percent said they’re planning to buy within the next year, which is a significant jump from 10 percent during the first quarter of 2020. But what’s driving the increases? Well, according to the report, it’s mostly younger Americans – with the biggest gains in buyer interest coming from millennials. (source)
Home Seller Profits Hit $94,500 In 2nd Quarter
If you’re a homeowner who is thinking about making a move, ATTOM Data Solution’s most recent U.S. Home Sales Report has good news for you. That’s because the report – which looks at how much profit the typical home sale generated during the second quarter of this year – found that home sellers are seeing bigger profits than they did at the beginning of the year – and significantly more than at the same time last year. In fact, during the second quarter, the typical home sale generated a profit of $94,500. That’s up from $90,000 during the first quarter and $60,572 during the second quarter of 2020. In short, it’s a good time to sell a home. But while home seller profits are up, return on investment saw a slight decline. Todd Teta, ATTOM’s chief product officer, says it may be a sign that the market is finally starting to cool. “While it may just be a momentary thing in today’s volatile market, it’s definitely something to keep an eye on in case it’s a sign that the market is finally cooling or giving in to some of the economic forces connected to the virus pandemic,” Teta said. (source)